Data, Modeling, and Analysis

Geothermal Data

The Office of Geothermal (OG) supports data compilation and collaboration needs by collecting, analyzing, and disseminating data related to geothermal energy.

Expanding geothermal deployment in the United States requires high-quality data and collaboration, and lots of it. Information on all aspects of geothermal development—from resource assessments and drilling to project costs and timelines—is vital to help identify and address barriers to geothermal adoption, assess technical progress across the geothermal sector, and prioritize research.

OG's data, modeling, and analysis work includes examining nontechnical barriers to geothermal deployment like project permitting, evaluating market trends, conducting technology impact and regulatory analyses, identifying best practices, and outlining funds needed to refine the geothermal research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) portfolio.

OG places significant emphasis on making data available to industry, academia, financiers, utilities, policymakers, and other stakeholders. All OG-funded projects are required to upload their data to the Geothermal Data Repository for public use. Those data are complemented by Final Technical Reports that OG researchers upload to OSTI.gov at project completion. 

View more geothermal data, tools, and other technical resources and OG’s funding opportunities.

Initiatives

Geoanalysis

Geothermal Data Repository

GRID

Geothermal and Data Centers

Analysis

Permitting

Geothermal Hybrid Projects

 

Geoanalysis Initiative

OG set out to restructure its capacity to handle short- and long-term strategic analysis, with a focus on geothermal valuation, deployment, and techno-economic analysis. With the Geoanalysis Initiative, OG’s objective is to spur more collaboration and better accounting for geothermal in energy planning models that inform high-impact analyses within and external to DOE. The goal is to create a geothermal analytical capabilities toolkit and ensure that modeling tools integrate geothermal systems effectively. In particular, OG is working to create tools that better assess geothermal energy’s cost and value for both the generation and demand sides of the bulk energy system.

Through the Geoanalysis initiative, OG pursued a wholesale revitalization of geothermal representation in the National Laboratory of the Rockies's (NLR) analysis ecosystem and how geothermal technologies are represented within underlying NLR data and models that are subsequently applied to high-impact NLR research. The result of this comprehensive initiative is significant expansion of geothermal representation across nearly all relevant energy system, planning, and foundational modeling work supported by NLR, paving the way for greater awareness of the potential in geothermal technologies and integration of geothermal in broader high-impact energy analyses. Specific successes include: 

Geothermal Data Repository 

The Geothermal Data Repository (GDR) provides free public access to data generated by OG-funded research projects, filling an important need for the research community, industry, utilities, energy planners, financiers, and others interested in geothermal. The GDR includes data that touch all aspects of geothermal research, development, and demonstration. 

Since its inception, the GDR has provided an accessible home for terabytes (TB) of geothermal data that have been downloaded and used far and wide, fostering the expansion of research and development in geothermal technologies and providing a blueprint for other data access platforms to emulate. By every measure, the GDR has succeeded in rapidly expanding accessibility to critical geothermal data: as of April 2026, the GDR has over 47,000 users accessing 1,300+ datasets, from 142 different organizations. Available data on the GDR now exceeds 764 TB from just 10 gigabytes in 2012, and cumulative data downloads have grown exponentially to reach over 38.2 million.

NREL has built a set of “data pipelines” that can automatically detect and translate high-value datasets into industry standard-based frameworks upon submission to the GDR. The GDR team targeted three initial high-value data types to pilot—drilling data, geospatial datasets, and seismic data (e.g., distributed acoustic sensing)—all of which are now automatically applied to relevant user data upon submission. This paradigm shift takes most of the burden of data standardization off the user and project teams, allowing more project resources to be used on research and development activities and increasing the availability of standardized geothermal data available through the GDR. 

 

GRID

GRID in large very large letters shows the progression of subsurface layers, from the hot purple to the cool green. The I in GRID has a zig zag flourish indicating electricity. In the background is a depiction of an electric grid.The GRID initiative supports innovative, regional grid modeling studies to quantify and deepen understanding of the value and benefits of geothermal energy to the nation’s electricity grid. Projects selected under this initiative will address the challenge of grid stability through detailed studies on how renewable, firm geothermal power can support and stabilize the grid as it incorporates higher shares of intermittent energy sources. Innovative valuation metrics developed under this FOA will provide a deeper understanding of geothermal energy's economic and reliability benefits, fostering informed decision making for future energy policies and funding.

 

Geothermal and Data Centers

Geothermal for Data Centers | Illustration of several servers with a letter on the side spelling out data centers and dotted lines connecting the servers to various tools with screens around edge of illustration.

 

With the growing use of artificial intelligence (AI), the demand for data centers and the large energy loads required to support them is increasing rapidly. Geothermal energy has the potential to help meet the needs of this increasingly digitized world by adding more reliable power to the grid and providing cooling and thermal energy storage solutions.

 

Analysis

OG uses data to help inform the direction and prioritization of its research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) through analysis and strategic planning. Two prevailing documents that guide OG are (1) the 2019 GeoVision analysis, which projects growth for geothermal energy through 2050; and (2) the FY2022-FY2026 Multi-Year Program Plan, which provides a high-level technology plan for OG RD&D to support the growth and long-term contribution of geothermal energy to the U.S. electricity grid and U.S. homes and buildings.

OG's data, modeling, and analysis initiatives seek to develop and improve geothermal tools and resources to help the public and geothermal stakeholders assess regulatory needs, simulate the impacts of geothermal energy on communities, and stay updated on geothermal development and technologies. 

More information about these and many other resources related to geothermal data, modeling, and analysis are available on OG’s Technical Resources page and Geothermal Publications page.

 

Permitting

OG co-led an interagency task force with the U.S. Department of the Interior’s Bureau of Land Management (BLM) that gathered multiple federal and state agencies to discuss challenges and opportunities related to geothermal regulatory approvals and permitting, resulting in a report of findings. OG and BLM continue to collaborate with an interagency working group focused on process improvements to geothermal project permitting on public lands.

OG's 2019 GeoVision analysis and its supporting task force report on barriers examine key regulatory, permitting, and land-access barriers to geothermal development. The modeling in this effort indicates that an expanded Categorical Exclusion for Exploration Drilling and a Centralized Permitting Office could reduce project timelines enough to drive conventional geothermal power capacity to exceed 12GW by 2050 – a 113% improvement over the Business-as-Usual (BAU) baseline.

For more guidance on understanding and addressing the permitting process, visit OG’s Permitting for Geothermal Power Development Projects page.

 

Geothermal Hybrid Projects

To establish new opportunities and methods for geothermal power and industrial heat expansion across the United States, OG supported five national laboratory projects to evaluate the use of geothermal hybrid projects. Hybridizing and linking geothermal energy with other generation technologies can drive operational synergies and optimize the combined beneficial attributes of multiple technologies. Research conducted through this lab call aimed to help build the case for commercial pathways and expand the breadth of viable geothermal resources.