Fact #561: March 9, 2009 All Sectors' Petroleum Gap

Before 1989 the U.S. produced enough petroleum to meet the needs of the transportation sector, but was still short of meeting the petroleum needs of all the sectors, including industrial, residential and commercial, and electric utilities. In 1973 the gap between what the U.S. produced and what was consumed was 5.6 million barrels per day. By 2030, the gap is expected to be at least 9.2 million barrels per day if all sources of petroleum are included or 12.3 million barrels per day if only conventional petroleum sources are used.

U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption, 1970-2030

Image

Note: The U.S. Production has two lines after 2005. The solid line is conventional sources of petroleum. The dashed line adds in other inputs -- ethanol, liquids from coal, and liquids from biomass. The sharp increase in values between 2007 and 2008 are caused by the data change from historical to projected values.

Supporting Information

**Historical and Future U.S. Petroleum Production and Petroleum Use (Million barrels per day)**
Year	Transportation	Industrial	Residential and Commercial	Electric Utilities	Total	U.S. Petroleum Production with Other Inputs 2007-on (dotted line)	U.S. Petroleum Production without Other Inputs 2007-on
1973	8.78	4.48	2.23	1.54	17.04	11.40	11.40
1974	8.42	4.30	2.04	1.48	16.24	10.94	10.94
1975	8.54	4.04	1.95	1.39	15.91	10.47	10.47
1976	9.06	4.46	2.13	1.52	17.17	10.24	10.24
1977	9.35	4.82	2.14	1.71	18.02	10.39	10.39
1978	9.80	4.87	2.07	1.75	18.48	10.77	10.77
1980	9.26	4.86	1.52	1.15	16.79	10.80	10.80
1981	9.31	4.27	1.33	0.96	15.88	10.69	10.69
1982	9.02	4.06	1.24	0.69	15.01	10.73	10.73
1983	9.07	3.85	1.29	0.68	14.90	10.73	10.73
1984	9.43	4.21	1.38	0.56	15.59	11.09	11.09
1985	9.61	4.07	1.34	0.48	15.49	11.14	11.14
1986	9.90	4.09	1.37	0.64	15.99	10.85	10.85
1987	10.12	4.21	1.40	0.55	16.28	10.58	10.58
1988	10.37	4.36	1.41	0.69	16.83	10.45	10.45
1989	10.49	4.33	1.39	0.75	16.96	9.82	9.82
1990	10.56	4.15	1.23	0.57	16.51	9.60	9.60
1991	10.38	4.53	1.21	0.53	16.64	9.79	9.79
1992	10.67	4.45	1.20	0.44	16.75	9.67	9.67
1994	11.14	4.57	1.17	0.47	17.34	9.16	9.16
1995	11.40	4.83	1.13	0.33	17.69	9.10	9.10
1996	11.65	4.96	1.21	0.36	18.18	9.16	9.16
1997	11.83	4.86	1.16	0.41	18.26	9.12	9.12
1998	12.03	4.84	1.08	0.58	18.53	8.90	8.90
1999	12.58	5.03	1.18	0.53	19.33	8.62	8.62
2000	12.73	4.92	1.28	0.51	19.44	8.70	8.70
2001	12.61	4.89	1.25	0.56	19.32	8.57	8.57
2002	12.79	4.93	1.19	0.43	19.34	8.58	8.58
2004	13.16	5.23	1.26	0.54	20.18	8.30	8.30
2005	13.38	5.10	1.20	0.55	20.22	7.88	7.88
2006	13.45	5.18	1.03	0.29	19.95	7.83	7.83
2007	13.90	5.12	1.03	0.29	20.34	8.59	7.85
2008	14.44	4.977	1.10	0.216	20.73	8.68	7.78
2009	14.27	4.709	1.11	0.218	20.30	9.08	8.17
2010	14.51	4.522	1.05	0.218	20.31	9.66	8.45
2011	14.76	4.569	1.05	0.220	20.60	9.77	8.46
2012	14.84	4.642	1.04	0.222	20.75	9.94	8.57
2013	14.89	4.705	1.03	0.222	20.84	10.04	8.57
2014	14.90	4.668	1.01	0.223	20.81	10.11	8.54
2015	14.92	4.591	1.01	0.224	20.74	10.17	8.52
2016	14.99	4.540	1.00	0.224	20.75	10.28	8.58
2017	15.05	4.503	1.00	0.225	20.77	10.48	8.73
2018	15.13	4.450	1.00	0.226	20.80	10.78	8.95
2019	15.17	4.406	0.99	0.226	20.80	10.90	9.06
2020	15.28	4.345	1.00	0.226	20.85	11.22	9.26
2021	15.41	4.300	0.99	0.227	20.93	11.55	9.41
2022	15.57	4.280	0.99	0.227	21.07	11.91	9.58
2023	15.69	4.275	0.99	0.227	21.18	12.20	9.79
2024	15.84	4.282	0.99	0.228	21.34	12.43	9.90
2025	16.00	4.288	0.98	0.229	21.50	12.67	10.03
2026	16.18	4.287	0.98	0.229	21.68	12.77	10.04
2027	16.37	4.286	0.98	0.230	21.87	12.86	10.01
2028	16.55	4.295	0.98	0.232	22.06	13.04	10.08
2029	16.70	4.298	0.98	0.232	22.21	13.16	10.14
2030	16.91	4.308	0.98	0.234	22.43	13.26	10.17
Sources: 1973-2007 from Davis, S. C. and Diegel, S. W., 2008, "Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 27," Oak Ridge National Laboratory Report, Oak Ridge, TN, 2008-2030 from EIA, 2008, "Annual Energy Outlook 2009 with Projections to 2030," Energy Information Administration, DOE/EIA-0383(2009), U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC.

Return to 2009 Facts of the Week

U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption, 1970-2030 Image

Supporting Information

U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption, 1970-2030

Image